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Channel: October 2013 – Elections Etc
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A long-range forecast for a 2015 British General Election based on current...

I’ve just started publishing a forecast from a polls based method for forecasting the next general election here. I’m hoping to update the forecast weekly. As I say on the website: “The methodology is...

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Initial responses to comments so far on the long-range election forecasting post

Thanks for all the various comments on my initial post about long-range forecasting from historical polls and votes relationship. Here are some initial responses to comments and questions that have...

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